World

 

Español

 

Guyana


Trinidad
& Tobago

 






Very usefull links



PW
Bookstore





News links

AP

AFP

Aljazeera

Dow Jones

Oil price

Reuters

Bloomberg

Views and News
from
Norway

 

 

 

 

Oil in price war, crude plunge most since 1991

Bloomberg

Oil Plunges Most Since 1991 After Producers Embark on Price War. Watch: How could the oil-price war between Saudi Arabia and Russia impact U.S. shale producers?

- Saudis, Russia plan to boost output; virus to curb consumption
- IEA sees unprecedented combination of supply-and-demand shock

By Dan Murtaugh, Alex Longley, and Jacqueline Davalos/Bloomberg

SINGAPORE/LONDON/NEW YORK
Petroleumworld 03 10 2020

Oil crashed the most in 29 years as Saudi Arabia and Russia vowed to pump more in a battle for market share just as the coronavirus spurs the first decline in demand since 2009.

Futures slumped by about 25% in New York and London Monday as Moscow and Riyadh began an all-out price war after the collapse of talks between members of the OPEC+ alliance last week.

Saudi Arabia slashed its official crude pricing and is threatening record output . Russia's largest producer, meanwhile, said it will ramp up production next month. What's more, all of the annual growth the International Energy Agency had anticipated last month has been erased, and oil demand is now expected to contract by 90,000 barrels a day this year.

The oil crash sent shock-waves across markets, with U.S. stocks going through one of the biggest sell-offs since the financial crisis, Treasury yields plummeting , and credit markets buckling. Stocks of energy producers were dragged down, and explorers including Occidental Petroleum Corp. and Parsley Energy Inc. planning drilling cuts.

“We've never experienced anything like this before,” says David Tawil, president of Maglan Capital in New York. “There was demand weakness before and this clash of the titans between Russia and Saudi is the ultimate shock. In the near term, markets are going to be absolutely chaotic and it's going to be an overwhelming time for the entire industry.”

The Saudi-Russia price war could wipe out the results of three years of OPEC+ production cuts in a single month.

Monday's oil collapse resonated through energy-industry stocks. Exxon Mobil Corp. saw its stock drop the most in 11 years , while smaller shale drillers in West Texas also slumped. Shares of Hess Corp. , Occidental Petroleum , and Chevron Corp. all suffered double-digit losses.

“There will be almost no place to hide,” Stewart Glickman, energy analyst at CFRA Research said in a note. “Exploration and production, of course, will be worst off since their fortunes wax and wane with crude oil prices.”

The Energy Information Administration said it's delaying the release of its monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook to allow time to “incorporate recent global oil market events.”

Brent for May settlement fell 24% to settle at $34.36 on the London-based ICE Futures Europe Exchange after tumbling to $31.02 earlier in the session.

West Texas Intermediate crude for April slumped as much as 34% to $27.34 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange . The U.S. benchmark settled at $31.13 .

The shocks in supply and demand have also reverberated across time-spreads, options and volatility. Brent's three-month price structure widened sharply as oil for prompt delivery collapsed against later shipments.

It moved deeper into contango, a sign of bearishness and oversupply, making it profitable for physical traders to buy crude and put it into storage, either in onshore tank farms or at sea on tankers.

“Markets are bracing for oil prices in the 20s,” said Ellen Wald, president of Transversal Consulting and a nonresident fellow at the Atlantic Council's Global Energy Center. “I don't think production can win this war. There's not enough demand for it. That's the difference between 2014 and today.”

Saudi Arabia slashed its official prices by the most in at least 20 years over the weekend and privately told some market participants it could raise output by a record 12 million barrels a day. Russia's state oil company Rosneft PJSC is planning to lift oil production and could start ramping up output on April 1 and add 300,000 barrels a day within weeks of that date.

Energy Minister Alexander Novak said the current state of global oil markets is within Moscow's forecast range , noting it will make efforts to ensure the nation's oil sector remains competitive, according to a statement on the government website.

“No one thought this would be a probable outcome,” said Ian Nieboer, managing director at RS Energy Group , now part of Enverus . “There's an aggressive threat to demand and its amplified by a flood of barrels into markets that don't need it. It's hard to imagine where we go from here.”

Amid the collapse in the alliance, Nigeria's Minister of State for Petroleum said the country would boost oil output and has the capacity to increase output to more than 2 million barrels a day.

— With assistance by Javier Blas, Anthony Dipaola, Ramsey Al-Rikabi, Alexander Kwiatkowski, Alfred Cang, Serene Cheong, and Andrew Janes


Reporting by Dan Murtaugh, Alex Longley, and Jacqueline Davalos from Bloomberg

bloomberg.com
03 10 2020

TOP

Contact: editor@petroleumworld.com,

Editor & Publisher:Elio Ohep /
Contact Email: editor@petroleumworld.com

CopyRight © 1999-2020, Elio Ohep A. - All Rights Reserved. Legal Information

PW in Top 100 Energy Sites

CopyRight©1999-2020, Petroleumworld ™  / Elio Ohep - All rights reserved

This site is a public free site and it contains copyrighted material the use of which has not always been specifically authorized by the copyright owner.We are making such material available in our efforts to advance understanding of business, environmental, political, human rights, economic, democracy, scientific, and social justice issues, etc. We believe this constitutes a 'fair use' of any such copyrighted material as provided for in section 107 of the US Copyright Law. In accordance with Title 17 U.S.C. Section 107, the material on this site is distributed without profit to those who have chosen to view the included information for research, information, and educational purposes. For more information go to: http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/17/107.shtml. If you wish to use copyrighted material from this site for purposes of your own that go beyond 'fair use', you must obtain permission fromPetroleumworld or the copyright owner of the material.