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CERAWeek starts in Houston with
top oil executives views of the future



Petroleumworld
CARACAS
Petroleumworld.com 02 09 06

CERAWeek 2006 began Tuesday with Daniel Yergin, CERA Chairman welcoming over 1,600 participants from 55 countries to the conference that is celebrating its 25th anniversary. Ali Al-Naimi, Minister of Petroleum and Mineral Resources of Saudi Arabia, was the opening speaker on Tuesday and eschewed oil price forecasts and advocated instead examining the forces that will shape the future.

Naimi said that the future of the industry “is tied to mankind’s aspiration for a better way of life”—and equally, the economic well-being of the world’s populations depends on a vibrant oil industry that can deliver cost-effective energy.

He added that there is a healthy long-term market supply and balanced demand and is sufficient spare capacity to handle demand surges or supply disruptions, without price spikes. Concluding, he said that government, producers, and consumers will rise to the challenges ahead.

Stuart R. McGill, Senior Vice President, Exxon Mobil Corporation, in the Global Oil plenary, among other issues discussed noted that the world will need 50 percent more energy by 2030, and that the future challenge is as much geopolitical as it is scientific, requiring political leadership for effective, efficient, and economical energy development.

Clarence P. Cazalot, President and Chief Executive Officer of Marathon Oil said that companies need to take a fresh look at processes, fields, and fuel types—expanding the view to include unconventional liquids, gas-to-liquids, ethanol, and oil shales.

On Tuesday's luncheon keynote Jeroen van der Veer, Chief Executive, Royal Dutch Shell plc, cited growing concerns about future supplies of energy and the climate change. The challenges are enormous, but our ability to innovate and harness technology can offer solutions. The world will long depend on fossil fuels to meet expanding demand, in both developed and developing nations. The need to find and recover more conventional oil and gas, develop unconventional hydrocarbons, and use coal more efficiently is greater than ever. At the same time, we must reduce carbon dioxide emissions, make alternative forms of energy economic, and increase energy efficiency. International energy companies—with their integrated capabilities, global experience, and commercial drive—will play a key role, he said.

On international oil, Fu Chengyu, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC), said CNOOC is focused on the future and the transformation under way in China’s industries, lifestyles, and society. The higher standard of living and opportunities China seeks for its people require new sources of supply, new technology, and new international partners to keep China’s transformation stable, predictable, and secure. Mr. Fu noted that historically companies become strong in their national markets and then take that strength internationally, a model for CNOOC. CNOOC sees energy security in terms of participation as an international player, supplying the global marketplace. As a natural result of China’s development, CNOOC seeks, together with global partners, to replace reserves aggressively, hone competitive skills, find the world-class resources, and face the uncertainty of volatile oil and gas markets, as well as assure its shareholders a strong return.

Dinner keynote address Daniel Yergin, CERA Chairman, offered his views on energy security, which is once again front and center. New and old elements are driving concerns—the tight oil market and what that means for prices; the threat of terrorism, particularly in oil exporting nations; the fears of a nationalist backlash; increased geopolitical rivalries; and a scramble for supplies and the energy needed to power economic growth. Energy security, said Dr. Yergin, is not just about oil. Today it encompasses everything from electric power blackouts to anxiety over gas as a global commodity, taking into account the global nature of energy, the greater vulnerability in the world trade system, and how countries define energy security. He outlined several principles of energy security, including diversification of supply, flexibility, oil market interdependence, the importance of high-quality and open information, engaging the new market players, the market as a source of security and flexibility, promoting research and development and energy conservation, a supportive investment climate, and managing international relations to assure energy security worldwide.

On Wednesday, the Hon. Clay Sell, Deputy Secretary, US Department of Energy, was to give the opening address. The Hon Fernando Canales Clariond, Mexico’s Secretary of Energy, was to offered his views on the issues, and The Hon. Robert E. Rubin, Director and Chairman of the Executive Committee, Citigroup, gave the dinner keynote.

Thursday Ceraweek final day, electric power will take center stage. The Hon. Joseph T. Kelliher, Chairman of the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, will examine the lessons learned as North America moves toward defining markets. CERA experts will give their views on the regional and global power markets and the possible futures on the horizon.

 

Petroleumworld 02 08 06

Copyright © 2006 Petroleumworld. All rights reserved


 

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