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Saturday's
Lagniappe

Dictatorship of the Proletariat


Fraude

By Venezuelan Economic Review

» The Dictatorship of the Proletariat is a concept that belongs to Marxism, and that is defined as the period that follows the overthrowing of the dictatorship of the bourgeoisie (capitalism) and which in turn concludes with the communist transformation of society. During this transition towards communism the regime proceeds to destroy the state’s bourgeois machinery, which is made up by the Armed Forces, the police, parliament and the judicial system, and takes control of the production mediums in order to socialize them....

The Dictatorship of the Proletariat is a concept that belongs to Marxism, and that is defined as the period that follows the overthrowing of the dictatorship of the bourgeoisie (capitalism) and which in turn concludes with the communist transformation of society. During this transition towards communism the regime proceeds to destroy the state’s bourgeois machinery, which is made up by the Armed Forces, the police, parliament and the judicial system, and takes control of the production mediums in order to socialize them. The term dictatorship of the proletarian was used by autocratic regimes such as the Soviet Union to cover up the fact that the nation was under the dictatorship of a sole political party, which in turn became a dictatorship over the proletariat by a new constituted dominant class bureaucracy. Its consequent government, the dictatorship of the proletariat, does not guarantee an equalitarian distribution of wealth, on the contrary it guarantees that the dominant defeated class will not be allowed to access a position of power again via political or military maneuvers. Socialism was originally divided in two branches: the Utopian socialism and the revolutionary communism. The Utopian communism and the revolutionary communism shared the criticism made against capitalism, but not the means or the ends used to eradicate it. French revolutionary, Luis Augusto Blanqui, was the first to explain the concept of the dictatorship of the proletariat, adding that communism could be implanted via an armed coup d’état that would establish a revolutionary dictatorship and guide society towards communism. In theory, communism defends the power of conquest by the proletariat, i.e., the working class, the extinction of private property and the means of production, and thus social classes as economic categories will tend to disappear. This eventually will lead to the extinction of the State as a dominating tool of one class over another. The fact that the communist revolution occurred in Russia, Europe’s most backwards country at the time, is proof that communism, as a way of government, caused the failure of the Soviet Union and the rest of nations that made up Eastern Europe’s iron curtain. Karl Marx and Friedrich Engels, drafted the Manifesto of the Communist Party (a.k.a. the Communist Manifesto) in 1848, in which they described the principles to be followed after the proletariat assumes the power of the state: (1) Real estate asset expropriation; (2) A strong progressive tax; (3) The abolition of inheritance rights; (4) Confiscation of wealth and assets belonging to emigrants and rebels; (5) Centralization of credits by the State; (6) Nationalization of transportation; (7) Multiplication of national factories and production means; (8) The creation of industrial armies, mostly rural; (9) Articulation of agriculture and industrial exploitation; (10) Public and free education.

According to Vladimir Lenin, the dictatorship of the proletariat had to be an essential part of a socialist revolution, as it was be used to prevent the resistance of the bourgeois hegemony; in order to achieve this they must totally dominate the governmental apparatus via the revolutionary process. Many communists, such as Lenin, criticized the socialist bloc regimes, claiming that the alleged collective property of production means in those countries was nothing more than pure fiction, since they were completely controlled by a bureaucratic minority, also know as the soviet Nomenklature, which was its real owner. Hugo Chavez has stated that Venezuela will be transformed into a socialist republic, but what he has failed to mention is that together with his entourage of stale communists, they remain stuck in the dictatorship of the proletariat –having originally failed in his attempt to assume power via a military uprising- instead of escalating towards an Utopian socialism. Thus, Chavez’s Socialism of the 21st Century project differs very little from the principles developed by Marx and Engels, thus Venezuela currently finds itself on the path to a communist regime as rancid as the one imposed on the Cuban people by Fidel Castro, considered the lonesome bastion of communism in America, which was forced to accept the participation of foreign private capitals, mostly in tourism, in order to maintain its fragile economy alive before Hugo Chavez assumed power. A communist economy cannot function correctly because without a market there are no prices, and without prices, economic calculations become impossible. Chavez has announced that it will nationalize the telecommunications sector, the electricity companies and part of the crude refining sector. Likewise he will promote a reform that will incorporate the indefinite reelection so he can be president for life, emulating his teacher and mentor, Fidel Castro. Unfortunately these changes are “legally” being orchestrated by a National Assembly, which despite not only being completely discredited and lacking legitimacy, it is the one that has been constitutionally constituted. But the loyalty shown by Hugo Chavez’s followers will depend on how radical these changes turn out to be and how much they benefit the collective; which is why one must ask: Will the new Venezuela oligarchy (a.k.a. the bolibourgeoisie of the revolution) be willing to detach themselves of their recently acquired multimillion fortunes to follow the anachronistic ideals of an autocratic system that has failed in every nation where it has been implemented?

The Economy 2006-2007

The Gov’t failed in its multiple attempts to control the inflation rate for 2006; instead it increased to 17% (vs 14.4% in 2005), making the Venezuelan economy the most inflationary throughout Latin America. In comparison, with the rest of the countries in the region, Colombia closed at 4.46%, Bolivia 4.74%, Peru 1.14%, Honduras 4.9%, Mexico 4.09% and Ecuador 3.20%. December’s inflation rate amounted to 1.8%. The cost of food products and non-alcoholic beverages rose 26% during the last 12 months, while transportation increased 15.4%, educational services 16.4%, and health 13%, affecting primarily those less fortunate sectors of the population, the one’s the Boliviarian regime claims to want to protect. The accumulated inflation for food products in Venezuela amounted to 26%, despite it being the only country in the region which prices are currently regulated. Paraguay and Argentina reported a food inflation of 10.6% and 10.5%, respectively, while Peru’s food inflation amounted to only 1.7% and Colombia 5.6%. According to Art. 319 of the Constitution “unjustifiably failing to meet the goals and objectives established in the annual policy accord will result in the removal of the BCV’s directory and administrative sanctions will be applied, in accordance to the law”; it remains to be seen if the regime will honor the Constitution; but it seem most unlikely. Internal economic activity increased 10.3% in 2006, according to the BCV. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) increase was boosted by the non-petroleum sectors (+11.4% vs 11.1% in 2005), while petroleum activity fell 0.3% (vs +2.6% in 2005). Financial and Insurances Institutions increased 37%, Construction (+29.5%), Communications (+23.5%) and Commerce (+18.6%). The Central Gov’t reached a deficit of Bs 1,931.7 BB in 2006 vs a surplus of Bs 3,940.5 BB in 2005. Balance of Payments closed 2006 with a surplus of $4,585 MM (vs $5,457 MM in 2005), due to the increase in the current account’s surplus and the lower deficit in the financial account, according to the BCV. The current account reached a $27,374 MM surplus in 2006 (+7.2% vs 2005). Exports increased 16.4%, while imports rose 32.3%, therefore the commercial balance closed with a surplus of $33,224 MM (vs $31,780 MM in 2005). The financial account registered a deficit of $19,690 MM, or a decline of $2,849 MM vs 2005. The Petroleum GDP fell 0.3% due to the contraction of oil and natural gas extraction, which fell 1.9% from Bs 6,250 BB to Bs 6,130 BB. With a total GDP of Bs 7,530 BB, petroleum became the second most important economic activity following manufacture, which GDP totaled Bs 8,470 BB in 2006….Pdvsa and private exports totaled $57.8 BB in 2006, covering 89.5% of the nation’s total foreign sales. Oil exports in 2006 allowed a surplus in the current account of 16.3% of GDP. Public spending expansion increased the amount of money circulating in the street, generating a 18.4% increase in private consumption in 2006, while public consumption grew 7.6%, according to BCV….National manufacturing production did not increase in the same level as the demand; the manufacturing GDP rose 10%, which highlights that a large part of the demand was satisfied by the high volume of imports in 2006. According to the BCV, imports increased 26.8% in 2006 vs 2005, while exports decreased 4.3%. 2007 will not be an easy year for the Venezuelan people, but especially for Hugo Chavez’s regime, since it will be forced to define an efficient government policy, something they have been unable to do in the past eight years. According to World Bank Chief Economist for Latin America, Guillermo Perry, Venezuela will increase more than 6% in 2007, while the International Monetary Fund (IMF) estimates Venezuela will register a growth of only 3.7% in 2007 (vs 17.9% in 2004; 9.3% in 2005 and 7.5% in 2006). Local analysts estimate this increase at between 6%-7% for 2007, and a registered inflation of no less than 20%. Petroleum prices will not decrease below the $50/bbl marker, which will guarantee that the Government may continue importing to satisfy demand, thanks to the excessive foreign currency stemmed from oil revenues. Public spending will continue rising and will close at no less than Bs 140,000 BB. According to risk rating firm, Standard and Poor`s, “the Venezuelan Government must concentrate its efforts in controlling public spending, as it is pressuring consumption prices upwards, thus they suggest that the Gov’t focus their attention on domestic problems such as crime, corruption and mostly inflation and long-term investments.” Venezuela could see its credit rating improved if the Government is able to cut its spending. The regime needs for the price of oil to continue rising, so they can excessively continue increasing public spending, which is currently the one thing that is holding the Boliviarian ideal together. If the scenario were to change the future of the Venezuelan economy would be destined to plummet, highlighting the failure of Hugo Chavez’s outdated revolution.


Venezuelan Economic Review is a Venezuelan publication with strategic and financial information. Petroleumworld not necessarily share these views.

Editor's Note: This commentary was originally published by VER On Line, on Jan. 17 2007. All comments posted and published on Petroleumworld, do not reflect either for or against the opinion expressed in the comment as an endorsement of Petroleumworld. All comments expressed are private comments and do not necessary reflect the view of this website. All comments are posted and published without liability to Petroleumworld.

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Gustavo Coronel 01/20/06

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