Lagniappe
Scott
Sullivan:
How
to defeat Evo Morales
Bolivia’s
democratic forces must anticipate that Morales intends to intimidate
Santa Cruz before negotiations by bringing in more
arms and advisors from Venezuela, Cuba and Nicaragua.
In
this context, Bolivia’s democratic forces should present
the following demands to Morales on a non-negotiable basis.
First, Morales must withdraw his comments that challenge the legality
of the Santa Cruz referendum.
Second, Chavez must announce his willingness to abide by the outcome
of the Santa Cruz vote as well as the votes in additional Bolivian
states.
Third, Morales shall agree not to deploy military, paramilitary,
or police forces to the territory of any Bolivian state without the
prior consent of the government of that state.
Fourth, Morales shall suspend his military-to-military agreements
with Venezuela, Cuba and Nicaragua. Morales must also suspend arms
purchases from these countries.
Fifth, Morales must break diplomatic relations with Iran.
Sixth, Morales shall not interfere as Santa Cruz establishes bilateral
military consultation groups with other countries.
Seventh,
Santa Cruz will ask the US to initiate an “equip
and train” for the pro-democracy military forces in Santa Cruz,
as the US provided for Slovenia, Bosnia and Croatia in the 1990’s.
China
is aware that Maoist and ultra-leftist guerrilla groups are making
a comeback
in Peru including Sendero Luminoso) and Tupac Amaru.
Moreover, these Maoist groups can rely for support on an extensive
network of Maoist “humanitarian” organizations funded
by Germany and the EU (see O’Grady in the WSJ).
Meanwhile,
Bush’s
influence in Latin America has collapsed. Bush has no visible strategy
to counter the ultra-leftists and fascists
in Latin America. Brazil, Chile, and Argentina have also refused
to stop Evo Morales. China must take the lead.
Scott
Sullivan is a former Washington government employee.
Petroleumworld not necessarily share these views.
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